Oman cement market & forecast (2012 update)

Table of Contents

Introduction....................................................................................4

Executive summary.....................................................................5

The economy and the construction sector............................6

Economy............................................................................................6

Structure........................................................................................6

Trade..............................................................................................7

Economic rollercoaster.................................................................8

Figure: Economy and population...................................................8

Construction sector...........................................................................9

Figure: Construction sector and the economy............................10

Table: Construction sector importance and growth...................11

Cement market...........................................................................12

Market Overview.............................................................................12

Figure: Principal existing Plants.................................................14

Incumbent operations.......................................................................15

Société des Ciments d'Abidjan (SCA)........................................15

Société de Ciments et Materiaux (Socimat)...............................15

Société des Ciments du Sud-Ouest (Socim)..............................16

Figure: Cement plant locations...................................................17

Market shares..............................................................................18

Figure: Share of nameplate capacity..........................................18

Demand and supply...................................................................19

Figure: 2005-2010 cement supply-demand balance..................19

Demand............................................................................................20

Figure: 2005-2011E cement demand..........................................20

Cement trade....................................................................................21

Figure: Cement imports and exports..........................................21

Imports.........................................................................................22

Figure: Cement & clinker imports: product types and evolution... 22

Figure: Cement & clinker import countries.................................23

Figure: Import share....................................................................25

Exports.........................................................................................26

Figure: Cement Exports: product types and evolution................26

Cement supply.................................................................................27

Figure: 2005-2010E annual cement production..........................27

Figure: Capacity utilization (2006-2010E)..................................28

Expansion and greenfield projects..................................................29

Figure: Major upgrades and new plants......................................29

Dangote Cement..........................................................................29

Ciment d’Afrique (Cimaf).............................................................30

New capacity................................................................................31

Figure: Nameplate cement production capacity (2005-2015E)..31

Figure: Cement production capacity (2005-2015E)....................32

Competitive dynamics......................................................................33

Cement prices.............................................................................35

Figure: 2006-2010 indicative cement prices..............................36

Outlook..........................................................................................38

Figure: Apparent cement demand projection (2005-2015).........38

Figure: Growth in apparent cement demand (2006-2015)..........39

Figure: 2005-2015E cement supply-demand balance................40

Figure: Capacity utilization (2006-2015E)..................................41

Next steps....................................................................................42

Data tables...................................................................................43

Supply-demand balance (2005 – 2010E, mm tons).........................43

Supply capacity market share (20092015E)..... 44

Imports by cement type (2005 – 2010E, tons).................................45

Cement import countries (2005 – 2010E, tons)................................46

Exports by cement type (2005 – 2010E, tons)................................47

Table: Cement plant capacities (2005 – 2015E, mm tons)...............48

Disclaimers..................................................................................49

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USD1200

Mar 2011