Tanzania cement market (2011 update)

Table of Contents

Introduction............................................................................ 4

Executive summary............................................................. 5

The economy and the construction sector.................... 6

Economy......... 7

Figure: Economy and population........................................... 7

Construction sector................................................................... 8

Figure: Construction sector and the economy...................... 9

Table: Construction sector importance and growth........... 10

Cement market................................................................... 12

Figure: Principal existing Plants......................................... 12

Government and other influences........................................... 13

Incumbent operations............................................................... 14

Tanzania Portland Cement Co (TPCC).............................. 14

Tanga Cement..................................................................... 14

Mbeya Cement..................................................................... 15

Figure: Cement plant locations........................................... 18

Competitive dynamics.............................................................. 17

Market shares...................................................................... 19

Figure: Share of nameplate capacity.................................. 19

Figure: Producer market share........................................... 20

Figure: Actual market share (including imports)................ 21

Figure: Import share............................................................ 22

Expansion and greenfield projects.......................................... 23

Athi River Mining................................................................. 23

Lake Cement........................................................................ 23

Dangote Cement.................................................................. 24

Lee Building Materials......................................................... 24

wFigure: Major upgrades and new plants........................... 25

New capacity........................................................................ 26

Figure: Nameplate cement production capacity (2005-2015E).. 26

Figure: Cement production capacity (2005-2015E)............ 27

Demand and supply........................................................... 28

Cement demand....................................................................... 28

Figure: 2005-2011E cement demand.................................. 28

Cement supply......................................................................... 29

Figure: 2005-2010E annual cement production.................. 29

Utilization.. 30

Figure: Capacity utilization (2006-2010E).......................... 30

Import and export activities...................................................... 31

Figure: Cement imports and exports.................................. 31

Imports...... 32

Figure: Cement imports: product types and evolution........ 32

Figure: Cement import countries........................................ 33

Exports...... 34

Figure: Cement exports: product types and evolution........ 34

Figure: Cement export countries........................................ 35

Cement prices..................................................................... 36

Figure: 2006-2010 indicative cement prices...................... 36

Outlook....... 38

Figure: Apparent cement demand projection (2005-2015). 38

Figure: Growth in apparent cement demand (2006-2015).. 39

Figure: Capacity utilization (2006-2015E).......................... 40

Next steps............................................................................ 42

Data tables........................................................................... 43

Supply-demand balance (2005 – 2010E, mm tons)................. 43

Production capacity market share (2005-2014E, %)............... 44

Imports by cement type (2005 – 2010E, tons)......................... 45

Cement import countries (2005 – 2010E, tons)........................ 46

Table: Cement plant capacities (2005 – 2015E, mm tons)....... 47

Disclaimers.......................................................................... 50

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Electronic (PDF)

USD1410

May 2011